Toy trends October 2026 report featuring best-selling Squishmallows, fidget toys, and blind-box collectibles

🔥 The Match Report | October 5, 2026 | Toy Trends You Need to See

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📊 Today’s Hot Categories

Source: Amazon best seller data, Google Trends, TikTok, and industry press

Sensory Play, Arts & Crafts, and Collectibles dominate the October 2026 toy landscape. These three categories are converging around a central theme: tactile, hands-on experiences that blend creativity with stress relief. The toy trends October 2026 reflect a market where squishies, fidgets, and interactive art kits are claiming top chart positions while licensed collectibles and blind-box unboxings drive social engagement. Last week’s report signaled early momentum in sensory toys — that trend is now firmly entrenched across both retail and social platforms.

Sensory Play

Sensory toys command three of the top eight best seller positions, led by Horizon Group USA Slimygloop Gelli Gels, Blue Squishmallows at Best Seller #1 with a 4.3 rating across 1,134 reviews. The 30 Pack Squishy Toys claims the #2 slot with 4.6 stars and 5,233 reviews, while Crayola Globbles Fidget Toy holds #8 with 4.5 stars and a massive 20,963 review base. TikTok is driving sustained attention: Needoh squishies pulled 2.5M views, while untagged fidget content continues to generate 500K-680K views per post. The category is no longer a novelty spike — it’s a proven repeat-purchase segment with strong customer retention.

Arts & Crafts

Crayola Marker Airbrush Spray Art Kit sits at Best Seller #5 with a 4.8 rating and 1,531 reviews, signaling strong recent adoption. Play-Doh’s 30-pack Halloween edition and 36-pack case are both charting, indicating bulk purchases for classrooms and party favors. TikTok’s Stickerbox trend — 1.2M views — shows that low-tech, accessible creative play is holding its own against digital competition. The airbrush kit’s high rating and recent review velocity suggest a product catching fire mid-cycle, likely fueled by back-to-school shopping extending into October.

Collectibles

Blind-box collectibles are the cultural engine behind much of TikTok’s toy content. Mini Baby Mom and Baby Surprise generated 8.9M views with 433,500 likes and 117,800 shares, while Marvel Avengers Surprises pulled 2.6M views with 390,200 likes. Stuffed Bun Dumplings from Five Below hit 834.6K views with strong ASMR-driven engagement. The unboxing ritual — tactile reveal, visual surprise, ASMR sound design — is the content format that drives discoverability for this category. Jazwares’ limited-edition Squishmallows collaboration with VANDYTHEPINK, launching October 3 at ComplexCon, signals that brands are leaning into scarcity and event-driven drops to sustain collectible momentum.

Source: Amazon best seller data

1. Horizon Group USA Slimygloop Gelli Gels, Blue Squishmallows

Horizon Group USA Slimygloop Gelli Gels, Blue Squishmallows holds Best Seller #1 in Novelty & Gag Toys with a 4.3 rating and 1,134 reviews. The product bridges two high-demand trends: the Squishmallows IP and tactile sensory play. TikTok’s squishy content routinely generates multi-million view counts, and the Squishmallows brand carries built-in collector appeal. The #1 rank indicates this isn’t just hype — it’s converting browsers into buyers at scale. Horizon Group’s ability to license a proven character property and layer it onto a trending play pattern is textbook trend execution.

2. 30 Pack Squishy Toys, Kawaii Squishies Party Favors

The 30 Pack Squishy Toys sits at Best Seller #2 with a 4.6 rating and 5,233 reviews — a massive review base that signals sustained, high-volume sales. The product is positioned as party favors and classroom treasure box filler, hitting both the retail and educational buying channels. TikTok’s fidget and squishy hashtags are generating 1M-2.5M views per trending post, creating a continuous discovery loop. The Kawaii aesthetic and blind-pack randomization tap into the same collector psychology driving blind-box sales. This is a category where bulk packs win because the use case is distribution, not singular ownership.

3. Crayola Marker Airbrush Spray Art Kit

Crayola Marker Airbrush Spray Art Kit claims Best Seller #5 with a 4.8 rating and 1,531 reviews. The high rating and recent review count suggest a product that launched strong and is maintaining velocity through word-of-mouth and repeat purchases. The airbrush mechanic adds a tactile, ASMR-friendly element to traditional marker art — exactly the kind of hybrid play pattern that performs well on TikTok. Crayola’s brand equity in the arts-and-crafts space provides retail trust, while the kit format (8 markers, 5 stencils) hits the sweet spot for gift-giving and project-based play. This is the kind of product that starts as a single purchase and turns into a repeat-buy category as kids work through consumable markers.

4. Mini Baby Mom and Baby Surprise

Mini Baby Mom and Baby Surprise is the top TikTok performer with 8.9M views, 433,500 likes, and 117,800 shares. 📺 8.9M TikTok views The share count is particularly notable — 117,800 shares means this content is being actively distributed beyond the original poster’s audience. The product taps into the unboxing trend with a nested reveal mechanic (mom and baby surprise inside), amplified by ASMR sound design and Zuru’s proven track record in the blind-collectible space. The hashtags #myminibaby, #zuru, and #toyunboxing signal strong brand awareness and discoverability. This is a product where TikTok virality is the primary demand driver, with retail sales following cultural momentum.

5. Crayola Globbles Fidget Toy

Crayola Globbles Fidget Toy sits at Best Seller #8 with a 4.5 rating and 20,963 reviews — the largest review base in the top 10. That volume indicates a product with multi-year staying power and consistent replenishment sales. The sticky-ball mechanic is simple, durable, and satisfying — classic fidget design that appeals to both kids and adults. TikTok’s fidget content continues to generate 500K-680K views per trending post, keeping the category in constant rotation on social feeds. The 6-count pack format positions Globbles as both a single purchase and a shareable/giftable set, expanding its addressable market. This is a product that doesn’t rely on a trend cycle — it’s evergreen with a sensory play foundation.

6. LEGO Jack-O’-Lantern Pickup Truck

LEGO Jack-O’-Lantern Pickup Truck (ASIN B0G36Z353F — note: this ASIN may be shared with another product in the dataset) is charting in the Building Toys category. LEGO’s seasonal sets are reliable performers because they combine the brand’s core building-play value with timely, event-driven demand. Halloween sets have a short retail window, which creates urgency and drives impulse purchases. The pickup truck format adds a vehicle-building element to the traditional pumpkin motif, broadening the appeal beyond pure seasonal decoration. LEGO’s pricing discipline and evergreen brand strength mean these sets maintain value even after the holiday passes, which supports secondary-market resale and collector interest.

📱 Social Media Spotlight

Source: TikTok

TikTok’s toy ecosystem is currently dominated by #unboxingtoys, #fidgettoys, and #toytok, with individual trending posts pulling between 500K and 8.9M views. The content format is consistent: ASMR-style unboxing, tactile interaction, and visual reveal sequences that reward the algorithm’s preference for watch-time and completion rate. Blind-box collectibles, squishy fidgets, and licensed character products are the categories winning the most engagement.

Mini Baby Mom and Baby Surprise leads with 8.9M views, 433,500 likes, and 117,800 shares across the #unboxingtoys hashtag. 📺 8.9M TikTok views The nested-reveal mechanic (mom and baby inside) creates multiple ASMR moments in a single video, which extends watch time and drives algorithmic distribution. The share count is particularly high, suggesting this product is being actively recommended across friend groups and parent communities.

Marvel Avengers Surprises pulled 2.6M views with 390,200 likes and 147,600 shares. 📺 2.6M TikTok views The #nostalgic tag signals that this content is appealing to adult collectors and parents who grew up with the Avengers IP, not just kids. The high share count relative to views suggests strong community engagement — people are tagging friends and sharing within collector circles.

Needoh squishies generated 2.5M views under the #fidgettoys hashtag. 📺 2.5M TikTok views The ASMR-friendly squish sound and tactile satisfaction of the product make it ideal for short-form video content. Needoh has become a category-defining brand in the squishy-fidget space, with strong retail distribution at specialty toy stores and mass-market chains.

Stickerbox hit 1.2M views on #toytok with hashtags including #besttoys and #hottesttoys. 📺 1.2M TikTok views The low-tech, sticker-based play pattern is resonating as a counterbalance to screen time, with parents actively seeking analog creative activities. The product’s simplicity and portability make it easy to feature in quick TikTok demos, which drives impulse purchases.

Stuffed Bun Dumplings from Five Below generated 834.6K views with strong ASMR engagement. 📺 834.6K TikTok views The plush-squishy hybrid design and kawaii aesthetic tap into the same collector psychology driving blind-box sales. Five Below’s value positioning makes it accessible for impulse buys, and the blind-box format encourages repeat visits to complete collections.

🔍 What Customers Are Searching For

Search activity in the toy and games space is currently dominated by video game titles, licensed entertainment properties, and nostalgia-driven collectibles. Rising queries signal where demand is building, while sustained high-volume searches confirm established interest. The patterns show that gaming IP, sports fandom, and retro entertainment are driving toy-adjacent search behavior.

NBA 2K25

NBA 2K25 is showing rising search interest — last 7 days. The game’s annual release cycle creates predictable spikes in October, but the “rising” designation suggests momentum beyond the typical launch window. This signals sustained engagement with the franchise and potential crossover into physical collectibles like trading cards, action figures, and branded merchandise. Sports-gaming IP has become a reliable bridge between digital and physical product categories, with toy companies licensing athletes and teams for figure lines and playsets.

Grand Theft Auto VI

Grand Theft Auto VI search interest is rising — last 7 days. The long-awaited sequel to one of the best-selling games of all time is generating cultural momentum well ahead of its release. While GTA isn’t traditionally a toy-heavy franchise, the search volume signals broad entertainment interest that toy companies can tap through vehicle replicas, diecast models, and adult-collectible lines. The franchise’s cultural footprint makes it a licensing opportunity for premium collectibles and specialty retail.

Xbox Game Pass

Xbox Game Pass queries are rising — last 7 days, indicating growing interest in subscription gaming services. This trend matters for the toy industry because Game Pass is a gateway to IP discovery — kids and teens are exposed to a rotating catalog of franchises that can spawn toy lines. Minecraft, Halo, Forza, and other Game Pass titles have all generated successful physical product extensions. The subscription model also signals a shift in how families budget for entertainment, which may influence toy purchasing behavior.

📰 Industry News That Matters

Source: Industry press and trade coverage

Toybox brings Harry Potter to 3D printing.
Warner Bros. Discovery Global Consumer Products extended its partnership with Toybox to add printable Harry Potter creations to the kid-focused 3D printing platform beginning October 23, expanding the IP’s reach into the maker-toy category.

Jazwares launches limited-edition Squishmallows with VANDYTHEPINK.
The streetwear collaboration debuted October 3 at ComplexCon 2026 in Los Angeles, signaling that toy companies are leaning into scarcity-driven drops and event-exclusive releases to sustain collectible momentum.

Hasbro reports Q3 2026 earnings October 20.
The company will release third-quarter financial results before market open on October 20, followed by an 8:30 a.m. Eastern conference call — a key data point for understanding holiday inventory and demand signals across the industry.

Moose Toys expands consumer products division.
The company appointed Robbie Prinzo to lead its newly built consumer products operation, indicating a strategic push beyond core toy products into broader licensing and brand extensions.

October trade calendar: NRHSA, Brand Licensing Europe, and New York Comic Con.
The NRHSA Conference and Table-Top Expo runs October 4-7 in Las Vegas, Brand Licensing Europe takes place October 6-8 in London, and New York Comic Con runs October 8-11 — three key events for deal-making, licensing partnerships, and trend visibility ahead of the holiday selling season.

📉 Cooling Off

Source: Amazon best seller data

Five categories are showing pullback signals: Novelty & Gag Toys, Toy Figures & Playsets, Baby & Toddler Toys, Learning & Education, and Tricycles, Scooters & Wagons. Each category has one product flagged as cooling, indicating early-stage rotation rather than broad-based decline. This is normal market behavior as retailers adjust inventory post-back-to-school and consumers shift spending toward holiday-specific categories.

The pullback in Novelty & Gag Toys and Toy Figures & Playsets likely reflects saturation in the impulse-buy segment — these categories saw heavy promotion during back-to-school and are now normalizing as shoppers pivot toward gift-giving and event-driven purchases. Baby & Toddler Toys and Learning & Education may be cooling as families complete their fall purchasing for developmental and classroom-related products, with demand expected to re-accelerate in November as holiday shopping begins. Tricycles, Scooters & Wagons is entering its seasonal off-cycle as outdoor ride-on toys lose relevance heading into winter in northern markets.

This rotation is expected and healthy — it creates shelf space for seasonal products (Halloween, holiday sets) and allows retailers to clear inventory before the fourth-quarter push. Specialty toy retailers should view this as a signal to shift floor space and promotional focus toward collectibles, building sets, and licensed entertainment products that align with holiday demand patterns.

Source: Amazon


This report is powered by The Toy Matchmaker™ and built using Amazon, Google, and TikTok trend data combined with industry analysis. Some links in this report may be affiliate links — if you make a purchase, we may earn a small commission at no extra cost to you. Data is for informational purposes only — always verify with your distributors before placing orders.

Methodology and sources

This report combines several independent market signals. Findings are stated as conclusions drawn from that data.

  • Retail sales rank, pricing and review data, via a licensed third-party market-data provider.
  • Data source: Google Trends (https://www.google.com/trends)
  • Publicly visible social video engagement metrics, collected from public pages.
  • Industry press and trade coverage, retrieved by automated web search.

Web sources retrieved for this edition:

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